The Monetary Exchange Rate Model as a Long-Run Phenomenon

نویسنده

  • Jan J.J. Groen
چکیده

Pure time series-based tests fail to nd empirical support for monetary exchange rate models. In this paper we apply pooled time series estimation on a forwardlooking monetary model, resulting in parameter estimates which are in compliance with the underlying theory. Based on a panel version of the Engle and Granger (1987) two-step procedure we nd that the residuals of our pooled estimated model are stationary. This indicates that on a pooled time series level there is cointegration between the exchange rate and the macroeconomic fundamentals of this monetary model.

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تاریخ انتشار 1998